early 2027 best picture oscar predictions (Vol. 4, september 2026)

A list of predictions for what will be nominated for best picture at the 99th Academy awards in 2027. In some kind of order for what will win, but mostly what I think will get nominated.

The rankings are based entirely on what I think might get into the Best Picture discussion and ignore any other categories. There are films near the bottom of this list which I firmly expect to be in the running for acting awards.

This list is in three tiers: 10 nominees, 15 contenders and 15 maybes?

Most of these will look foolish in a few months, but if I hit I’ll look like a genius. (Last year I only got 3/10 in my initial predictions.)

  1. The Odyssey Sir Christopher Nolan (Universal)
  2. La Bola Negra Javier Ambrossi & Javier Calvo (Netflix)
  3. Wild Horse Nine Martin McDonagh (Searchlight)
  4. Project Hail Mary Phil Lord & Christopher Miller (Amazon-MGM)
  5. Fjord Cristian Mungiu (Neon)
  6. The Debut Jesse Eisenberg (A24)
  7. The Invite Olivia Wilde (A24)
  8. Digger Alejandro González Iñárritu (Warner Bros.)
  9. Ink Danny Boyle (Netflix) Up
  10. I Play Rocky Peter Farrelly (Amazon-MGM) Up
  11. Josephine Beth de Araújo (Sumerian) Down
  12. Elsinore Simon Stone (Focus) Down
  13. All of a Sudden Ryūsuke Hamaguchi (Neon)
  14. Possible Love Lee Chang-Dong (Netflix)
  15. The Social Reckoning Aaron Sorkin (Sony)
  16. Dune: Part Three Denis Villeneuve (Warner Bros.)
  17. Obsession Curry Barker (Focus)
  18. Behemoth! Tony Gilroy (Searchlight)
  19. Club Kid Jordan Firstman (A24)
  20. Being Heumann Siân Heder (Apple)
  21. Fatherland Paweł Pawlikowski (MUBI)
  22. Sense and Sensibility Georgia Oakley (Focus)
  23. Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother Bassam Tariq (Amazon-MGM) New Entry
  24. You Can See Everything Nathan Fielder & Lance Oppenheim (A24) New Entry
  25. Minotaur Andrey Zvyagintsev (MUBI) Up
  26. Michael Antoine Fuqua (Lionsgate) Down
  27. Disclosure Day Steven Spielberg (Universal) Down
  28. Clarissa Arie & Chuko Esiri (Neon) Down
  29. Werwulf Robert Eggers (Focus)
  30. Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma Jane Schoenbrun (MUBI)
  31. The Only Living Pickpocket in New York Noah Segan (Sony Classics)
  32. A Long Winter Andrew Haigh (MUBI)
  33. Tuner Daniel Roher (Black Bear)
  34. Misty Green Chris Rock (A24)
  35. Bunker Florian Zeller (Sony Classics) (TBD)
  36. Paper Tiger James Gray (Neon)
  37. Artificial Luca Guadagnino (Neon) New Entry
  38. Primetime Lance Oppenheim (A24) New Entry
  39. Tender Loving Care Mike Leigh (Bleecker Street) New Entry
  40. The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth David Fincher (Netflix) New Entry

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