absurdly early 2027 best picture oscar predictions (Vol. 2, JUNE 2026)

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A list of predictions for what will be nominated for best picture at the 99th Academy awards in 2027. In some kind of order for what will win, but mostly what I think will get nominated.

The rankings are based entirely on what I think might get into the Best Picture discussion and ignore any other categories. There are films near the bottom of this list which I firmly expect to be in the running for acting awards.

This list is in three tiers: 10 nominees, 15 contenders and 15 maybes?

Most of these will look foolish in a few months, but if I hit I’ll look like a genius. (Last year I only got 3/10 in my initial predictions.)

  1. The Odyssey Sir Christopher Nolan (Universal)
  2. Digger Alejandro González Iñárritu (Warner Bros.l)
  3. Fjord Cristian Mungiu (Neon)
  4. Wild Horse Nine Martin McDonagh (Searchlight)
  5. Project Hail Mary Phil Lord & Christopher Miller (Amazon-MGM)
  6. All of a Sudden Ryūsuke Hamaguchi (Neon)
  7. Josephine Beth de Araújo (Sumerian)
  8. The Social Reckoning Aaron Sorkin (Sony)
  9. Behemoth! Tony Gilroy (Searchlight) Up
  10. Cry to Heaven Tom Ford (TBD) Up
  11. Fatherland Paweł Pawlikowski (MUBI) Down
  12. Disclosure Day Steven Spielberg (Universal) Down
  13. Dune: Part Three Denis Villeneuve (Warner Bros.)
  14. Michael Antoine Fuqua (Lionsgate)
  15. Sense and Sensibility Georgia Oakley (Focus)
  16. The Adventures of Cliff Booth David Fincher (Netflix)
  17. The Black Ball Javier Ambrossi & Javier Calvo (Netflix) New Entry
  18. Minotaur Andrey Zvyagintsev (MUBI) New Entry
  19. Coward Lukas Dhont (MUBI) New Entry
  20. Club Kid Jordan Firstman (A24) New Entry
  21. Paper Tiger James Gray (Neon) New Entry
  22. The Man I Love Ira Sachs (TBD) New Entry
  23. Being Heumann Siân Heder (Apple)
  24. Werwulf Robert Eggers (Focus)
  25. The Invite Olivia Wilde (A24) Up
  26. Bitter Christmas Pedro Almodóvar (Sony Classics) Down
  27. Sheep in the Box Hirokazu Kore-eda (Neon) Down
  28. Possible Love Lee Chang-Dong (Netflix) Down
  29. The Drama Kristoffer Borgli (A24) Down
  30. The Dog Stars Sir Ridley Scott (20th Century) Down
  31. Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma Jane Schoenbrun (MUBI)
  32. The Rivals of Amziah King Andrew Patterson (Black Bear)
  33. A Long Winter Andrew Haigh (MUBI)
  34. “Wuthering Heights” Emerald Fennell (Warner Bros.)
  35. Jack of Spades Joel Coen (TBD)
  36. De Noche Todd Haynes (TBD)
  37. The Beloved Rodrigo Sorogoyen (TBD) New Entry
  38. No One Cares Jesse Eisenberg (A24) New Entry
  39. Tony Matt Johnson (A24) New Entry
  40. Tuner Daniel Roher (Black BEar) New Entry

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