Yay, Nay or Meh Oscar Preview 2025

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This is a record of everything said in my Oscar Preview video available soon at https://www.youtube.com/@YayNayOrMeh

In each of the major categories I have selected what I think will win, what should win and what didn’t even get nominated.

In my personal nominations, some films did better than reality, some films did worse:

FILMACTUAL NOMINATIONSMY NOMINATIONS
The Brutalist65
Anora54
The Substance44
Sing Sing24
Wicked33
A Real Pain23
The Seed of the Sacred Fig13
A Complete Unknown62
Conclave42
The Apprentice22
Dune: Part Two12
Inside Out 212
Heretic02
Nightbitch02
Emilia Pérez61
I’m Still Here31
Nickel Boys21
Black Box Diaries11
The Girl With the Needle11
Memoir of a Snail11
No Other Land11
Sugarcane11
The Wild Robot11
Chicken For Linda!01
Dìdi01
Fancy Dance01
The Glassworker01
His Three Daughters01
Hollywoodgate01
I Saw the TV Glow01
Kneecap01
The Remarkable Life of Ibelin01
Santosh01
Thelma01
Flow20
Porcelain War10
September 510
Soundtrack to a Coup d’Etat10
Wallace and Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl10

For each category Bold entries are real nominees I kept in my personal nominations, Regular entries are real nominees I removed from my personal nominations & Italic entries are personal nominations I inserted.

Best Picture

ACTUAL NOMINEES

  • Anora
  • The Brutalist
  • A Complete Unknown
  • Conclave
  • Dune: Part Two
  • Emilia Pérez
  • I’m Still Here
  • Nickel Boys
  • The Substance
  • Wicked

MY NOMINEES

  • Anora
  • The Brutalist
  • Conclave
  • Dune: Part Two
  • Fancy Dance
  • A Real Pain
  • The Seed of the Sacred Fig
  • Sing Sing
  • The Substance
  • Wicked

What Will Win: The Brutalist

What Should Win: Anora

What Should Win If Nominated: The Seed of the Sacred Fig

Best Director

ACTUAL NOMINEES

  • Jacques Audiard (Emilia Pérez)
  • Sean Baker (Anora)
  • Brady Corbet (The Brutalist)
  • Coralie Fargeat (The Substance)
  • James Mangold (A Complete Unknown)

MY NOMINEES

  • Sean Baker (Anora)
  • Brady Corbet (The Brutalist)
  • Coralie Fargeat (The Substance)
  • RaMell Ross (Nickel Boys)
  • Denis Villeneuve (Dune: Part Two)

What Will Win/What Should Win: Brady Corbet (The Brutalist)

Best Actress

ACTUAL NOMINEES

  • Cynthia Erivo (Wicked)
  • Karla Sofía Gascón (Emilia Pérez)
  • Mikey Madison (Anora)
  • Demi Moore (The Substance)
  • Fernanda Torres (I’m Still Here)

MY NOMINEES

  • Amy Adams (Nightbitch)
  • Cynthia Erivo (Wicked)
  • Mikey Madison (Anora)
  • Demi Moore (The Substance)
  • June Squibb (Thelma)

What Will Win: Demi Moore (The Substance)

What Should Win: Mikey Madison (Anora)

Best Actor

ACTUAL NOMINEES

  • Adrien Brody (The Brutalist)
  • Timothée Chalamet (A Complete Unknown)
  • Colman Domingo (Sing Sing)
  • Ralph Fiennes (Conclave) [Fiennes was better in The Return, also eligible this year]
  • Sebastian Stan (The Apprentice)

MY NOMINEES

  • Adrien Brody (The Brutalist)
  • Colman Domingo (Sing Sing)
  • Hugh Grant (Heretic)
  • Justice Smith (I Saw the TV Glow)
  • Sebastian Stan (The Apprentice)

What Will Win/What Should Win: Adrien Brody (The Brutalist)

Best Supporting Actress

ACTUAL NOMINEES

  • Monica Barbaro (A Complete Unknown)
  • Ariana Grande (Wicked)
  • Felicity Jones (The Brutalist)
  • Isabella Rossellini (Conclave)
  • Zoë Saldaña (Emilia Pérez)

MY NOMINEES

  • Joan Chen (Dìdi)
  • Ariana Grande (Wicked)
  • Natasha Lyonne (His Three Daughters)
  • Margaret Qualley (The Substance)
  • Zoë Saldaña (Emilia Pérez)

What Will Win/What Should Win: Zoë Saldaña (Emilia Pérez)

What Should Win If Nominated: Natasha Lyonne (His Three Daughters)

Best Supporting Actor

ACTUAL NOMINEES

  • Yura Borisov (Anora)
  • Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain)
  • Edward Norton (A Complete Unknown)
  • Guy Pearce (The Brutalist)
  • Jeremy Strong (The Apprentice)

MY NOMINEES

  • Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain)
  • Clarence Maclin (Sing Sing)
  • Edward Norton (A Complete Unknown)
  • Guy Pearce (The Brutalist)
  • Jeremy Strong (The Apprentice)

What Will Win/What Should Win: Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain)

What Should Win If Nominated: Clarence Maclin (Sing Sing)

Best Adapted Screenplay

ACTUAL NOMINEES

  • A Complete Unknown
  • Conclave
  • Emilia Pérez
  • Nickel Boys
  • Sing Sing

MY NOMINEES

  • A Complete Unknown
  • Conclave
  • Inside Out 2
  • Nightbitch
  • Sing Sing

What Will Win/What Should Win: Conclave

What Should Win If Nominated: Nightbitch

Best Original Screenplay

ACTUAL NOMINEES

  • Anora
  • The Brutalist
  • A Real Pain
  • September 5
  • The Substance

MY NOMINEES

  • Anora
  • The Brutalist
  • Heretic
  • A Real Pain
  • The Seed of the Sacred Fig

What Will Win/What Should Win: A Real Pain

Best Animated Feature

ACTUAL NOMINEES

  • Flow
  • Inside Out 2
  • Memoir of a Snail
  • Wallace and Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl
  • The Wild Robot

MY NOMINEES

  • Chicken For Linda!
  • The Glassworker
  • Inside Out 2
  • Memoir of a Snail
  • The Wild Robot

What Will Win: The Wild Robot

What Should Win: Memoir of a Snail

Best Documentary Feature

ACTUAL NOMINEES

  • Black Box Diaries
  • No Other Land
  • Porcelain War
  • Soundtrack to a Coup d’Etat
  • Sugarcane

MY NOMINEES

  • Black Box Diaries
  • Hollywoodgate
  • No Other Land
  • The Remarkable Life of Ibelin
  • Sugarcane

What Will Win/What Should Win: No Other Land

Best International Feature

ACTUAL NOMINEES

  • BRAZIL: I’m Still Here
  • DENMARK: The Girl With the Needle
  • FRANCE: Emilia Pérez
  • GERMANY: The Seed of the Sacred Fig
  • LATVIA: Flow

MY NOMINEES

  • BRAZIL: I’m Still Here
  • DENMARK: The Girl With the Needle
  • GERMANY: The Seed of the Sacred Fig
  • IRELAND: Kneecap
  • UNITED KINGDOM: Santosh

What Will Win: FRANCE: Emilia Pérez

What Should Win: GERMANY: The Seed of the Sacred Fig

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