This is a record of everything said in my Oscar Preview video available soon at https://www.youtube.com/@YayNayOrMeh
In each of the major categories I have selected what I think will win, what should win and what didn’t even get nominated.
In my personal nominations, some films did better than reality, some films did worse:
| FILM | ACTUAL NOMINATIONS | MY NOMINATIONS |
|---|---|---|
| The Brutalist | 6 | 5 |
| Anora | 5 | 4 |
| The Substance | 4 | 4 |
| Sing Sing | 2 | 4 |
| Wicked | 3 | 3 |
| A Real Pain | 2 | 3 |
| The Seed of the Sacred Fig | 1 | 3 |
| A Complete Unknown | 6 | 2 |
| Conclave | 4 | 2 |
| The Apprentice | 2 | 2 |
| Dune: Part Two | 1 | 2 |
| Inside Out 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Heretic | 0 | 2 |
| Nightbitch | 0 | 2 |
| Emilia Pérez | 6 | 1 |
| I’m Still Here | 3 | 1 |
| Nickel Boys | 2 | 1 |
| Black Box Diaries | 1 | 1 |
| The Girl With the Needle | 1 | 1 |
| Memoir of a Snail | 1 | 1 |
| No Other Land | 1 | 1 |
| Sugarcane | 1 | 1 |
| The Wild Robot | 1 | 1 |
| Chicken For Linda! | 0 | 1 |
| Dìdi | 0 | 1 |
| Fancy Dance | 0 | 1 |
| The Glassworker | 0 | 1 |
| His Three Daughters | 0 | 1 |
| Hollywoodgate | 0 | 1 |
| I Saw the TV Glow | 0 | 1 |
| Kneecap | 0 | 1 |
| The Remarkable Life of Ibelin | 0 | 1 |
| Santosh | 0 | 1 |
| Thelma | 0 | 1 |
| Flow | 2 | 0 |
| Porcelain War | 1 | 0 |
| September 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Soundtrack to a Coup d’Etat | 1 | 0 |
| Wallace and Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl | 1 | 0 |
For each category Bold entries are real nominees I kept in my personal nominations, Regular entries are real nominees I removed from my personal nominations & Italic entries are personal nominations I inserted.
Best Picture
ACTUAL NOMINEES
- Anora
- The Brutalist
- A Complete Unknown
- Conclave
- Dune: Part Two
- Emilia Pérez
- I’m Still Here
- Nickel Boys
- The Substance
- Wicked
MY NOMINEES
- Anora
- The Brutalist
- Conclave
- Dune: Part Two
- Fancy Dance
- A Real Pain
- The Seed of the Sacred Fig
- Sing Sing
- The Substance
- Wicked
What Will Win: The Brutalist
What Should Win: Anora
What Should Win If Nominated: The Seed of the Sacred Fig
Best Director
ACTUAL NOMINEES
- Jacques Audiard (Emilia Pérez)
- Sean Baker (Anora)
- Brady Corbet (The Brutalist)
- Coralie Fargeat (The Substance)
- James Mangold (A Complete Unknown)
MY NOMINEES
- Sean Baker (Anora)
- Brady Corbet (The Brutalist)
- Coralie Fargeat (The Substance)
- RaMell Ross (Nickel Boys)
- Denis Villeneuve (Dune: Part Two)
What Will Win/What Should Win: Brady Corbet (The Brutalist)
Best Actress
ACTUAL NOMINEES
- Cynthia Erivo (Wicked)
- Karla Sofía Gascón (Emilia Pérez)
- Mikey Madison (Anora)
- Demi Moore (The Substance)
- Fernanda Torres (I’m Still Here)
MY NOMINEES
- Amy Adams (Nightbitch)
- Cynthia Erivo (Wicked)
- Mikey Madison (Anora)
- Demi Moore (The Substance)
- June Squibb (Thelma)
What Will Win: Demi Moore (The Substance)
What Should Win: Mikey Madison (Anora)
Best Actor
ACTUAL NOMINEES
- Adrien Brody (The Brutalist)
- Timothée Chalamet (A Complete Unknown)
- Colman Domingo (Sing Sing)
- Ralph Fiennes (Conclave) [Fiennes was better in The Return, also eligible this year]
- Sebastian Stan (The Apprentice)
MY NOMINEES
- Adrien Brody (The Brutalist)
- Colman Domingo (Sing Sing)
- Hugh Grant (Heretic)
- Justice Smith (I Saw the TV Glow)
- Sebastian Stan (The Apprentice)
What Will Win/What Should Win: Adrien Brody (The Brutalist)
Best Supporting Actress
ACTUAL NOMINEES
- Monica Barbaro (A Complete Unknown)
- Ariana Grande (Wicked)
- Felicity Jones (The Brutalist)
- Isabella Rossellini (Conclave)
- Zoë Saldaña (Emilia Pérez)
MY NOMINEES
- Joan Chen (Dìdi)
- Ariana Grande (Wicked)
- Natasha Lyonne (His Three Daughters)
- Margaret Qualley (The Substance)
- Zoë Saldaña (Emilia Pérez)
What Will Win/What Should Win: Zoë Saldaña (Emilia Pérez)
What Should Win If Nominated: Natasha Lyonne (His Three Daughters)
Best Supporting Actor
ACTUAL NOMINEES
- Yura Borisov (Anora)
- Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain)
- Edward Norton (A Complete Unknown)
- Guy Pearce (The Brutalist)
- Jeremy Strong (The Apprentice)
MY NOMINEES
- Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain)
- Clarence Maclin (Sing Sing)
- Edward Norton (A Complete Unknown)
- Guy Pearce (The Brutalist)
- Jeremy Strong (The Apprentice)
What Will Win/What Should Win: Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain)
What Should Win If Nominated: Clarence Maclin (Sing Sing)
Best Adapted Screenplay
ACTUAL NOMINEES
- A Complete Unknown
- Conclave
- Emilia Pérez
- Nickel Boys
- Sing Sing
MY NOMINEES
- A Complete Unknown
- Conclave
- Inside Out 2
- Nightbitch
- Sing Sing
What Will Win/What Should Win: Conclave
What Should Win If Nominated: Nightbitch
Best Original Screenplay
ACTUAL NOMINEES
- Anora
- The Brutalist
- A Real Pain
- September 5
- The Substance
MY NOMINEES
- Anora
- The Brutalist
- Heretic
- A Real Pain
- The Seed of the Sacred Fig
What Will Win/What Should Win: A Real Pain
Best Animated Feature
ACTUAL NOMINEES
- Flow
- Inside Out 2
- Memoir of a Snail
- Wallace and Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl
- The Wild Robot
MY NOMINEES
- Chicken For Linda!
- The Glassworker
- Inside Out 2
- Memoir of a Snail
- The Wild Robot
What Will Win: The Wild Robot
What Should Win: Memoir of a Snail
Best Documentary Feature
ACTUAL NOMINEES
- Black Box Diaries
- No Other Land
- Porcelain War
- Soundtrack to a Coup d’Etat
- Sugarcane
MY NOMINEES
- Black Box Diaries
- Hollywoodgate
- No Other Land
- The Remarkable Life of Ibelin
- Sugarcane
What Will Win/What Should Win: No Other Land
Best International Feature
ACTUAL NOMINEES
- BRAZIL: I’m Still Here
- DENMARK: The Girl With the Needle
- FRANCE: Emilia Pérez
- GERMANY: The Seed of the Sacred Fig
- LATVIA: Flow
MY NOMINEES
- BRAZIL: I’m Still Here
- DENMARK: The Girl With the Needle
- GERMANY: The Seed of the Sacred Fig
- IRELAND: Kneecap
- UNITED KINGDOM: Santosh
What Will Win: FRANCE: Emilia Pérez
What Should Win: GERMANY: The Seed of the Sacred Fig

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